Mura vs Nafta: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mestni Štadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
The Footlab AI model makes Nafta the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Mura. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nafta wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mura vs Nafta?
Nafta starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,617).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mura vs Nafta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mura
3-4-3- 30K. Kurtovic
- 3Aleksandar Zeljković
- 71B. Dimitrov
- 10N. Kouter
- 88A. Korošec
- 7N. Kasalo
- 5I. Jelić Balta
- 26B. Proleta
- 56M. Matić
- 21Ž. Petrovič
- 52M. Dajcar
Nafta
4-3-3- 17A. Maroša
- 7Josip Ivan Zorica
- 21Shyon Omrani
- 41Kimi Lavrencic
- 18A. Pihler
- 8M. Ogwuche
- 2R. Pirtovšek
- 33L. Poredoš
- 98Á. Drágoner
- 20Andre Ferreira
- 1Lucas Erjavsek
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mura have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Nafta have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celje(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-6 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koper(home) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Koper(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Radomlje(home) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 2-3 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mura win, 2 draws, 3 Nafta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nafta 5-2 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Mura 1-2 Nafta | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Nafta 4-2 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Mura 0-0 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Nafta 0-0 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Mura 1-0 Nafta | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Mura score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nafta score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mura | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Nafta | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mura sit 9th in 1. SNL (9 points from 10 matches) and Nafta sit 6th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nafta | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 9 | Mura | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Mura vs Nafta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mura vs Nafta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nafta the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Mura.
- Where and when is Mura vs Nafta played?
- Mura vs Nafta is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mestni Štadion Fazanerija, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.