Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 20Kick-off on July 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooperativa de Ahorro y Crédito Mushuc Runa, Ambato
Full time
What was the result of Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?
Mushuc Runa SC won 2-1 on July 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 9′R. CarrilloMushuc Runa SC
- 45′Michael Alessandro Bermúdez ReyesOrense SC
- 49′R. CarrilloMushuc Runa SC
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Mushuc Runa SC win at 43%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mushuc Runa SC
4-4-2- 9R. Carrillo
- 30Alex Renato Ibarra Mina
- 28M. Perea
- 8A. Zambrano
- 5Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón
- 7T. Minda
- 33M. Hernández
- 50J. Cusme
- 4Ronny Alfonso Biojo Preciado
- 99Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo
- 25R. Formento
Orense SC
4-1-4-1- 19Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes
- 11A. Herrera
- 25R. Jaramillo
- 7S. Vasquez
- 54E. Zambrano
- 21G. Rostagno
- 15B. Caicedo
- 5A. Lorenzo
- 6S. Callegari
- 2B. Quiñonez
- 22J. Ortiz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mushuc Runa SC have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Orense SC have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Macara(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-4 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Gualaceo SC(away) | 0-1 | Copa Ecuador |
| May 31, 2026 | Aucas(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Manta FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| May 30, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| May 27, 2026 | Cuniburo(away) | 1-2 | Copa Ecuador |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mushuc Runa SC wins, 1 draw, 3 Orense SC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Orense SC 3-2 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Orense SC 3-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| May 17, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC 2-5 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC 2-1 Orense SC | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Mushuc Runa SC 3-0 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Orense SC 2-2 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC on Mar 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mushuc Runa SC score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Orense SC score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Orense SC | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th in Liga Pro (40 points from 34 matches) and Orense SC sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 46 | 40 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 50 | 38 |
A question about Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy