Independiente del Valle vs Emelec: result 6-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 20Kick-off on July 20, 2026 at 12:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Independiente del Valle vs Emelec?
Independiente del Valle won 6-1 on July 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 23′R. CaicedoIndependiente del Valle (o.g.)
- 29′M. PerellóIndependiente del Valle
- 31′Emerson Ivan Pata RodríguezIndependiente del Valle
- 48′L. KlimowiczEmelec
- 77′A. RodríguezIndependiente del Valle
- 80′J. AnguloIndependiente del Valle
- 90′Y. VásquezIndependiente del Valle
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Independiente del Valle win at 71%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 6-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Independiente del Valle vs Emelec
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Independiente del Valle
- 11M. Perelló
- 50J. Angulo
- 23J. Viacava
- 28H. Quintana
- 31Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
- 32J. Méndez
- 55Darwin Guagua
- 4J. Espinoza
- 5R. Schunke
- 15G. Cortéz
- 1A. Quintana
Emelec
- 7L. Klimowicz
- 19J. Ruíz
- 5A. Mina
- 6V. Griffith
- 8G. Nápoli
- 16S. Quintero
- 4E. Segura
- 14R. Caicedo
- 27F. León
- 51Stalin Valencia
- 12P. Ortíz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente del Valle have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Emelec have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Santo Domingo(away) | 2-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 4-0 | Liga Pro |
| May 31, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 4-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Orense SC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Barcelona SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| May 31, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| May 24, 2026 | Macara(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Independiente del Valle wins, 1 draw, 2 Emelec wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Emelec 2-0 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Emelec 0-1 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| May 4, 2025 | Independiente del Valle 1-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Emelec 0-0 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Emelec vs Independiente del Valle on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente del Valle score 2.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 0.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 2.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Emelec | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente del Valle sit 1st in Liga Pro (77 points from 32 matches) and Emelec sit 10th (39 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del ValleLiga Pro: Championship Group | 32 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 75 | 35 | 77 |
| 10 | EmelecLiga Pro: Placement Group | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 39 | 39 |
A question about Independiente del Valle vs Emelec?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy