Musongati vs Muzinga: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ingoma, Gitega
The Footlab model makes Musongati the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Muzinga. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Musongati vs Muzinga?
Musongati starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,654 vs 1,416).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Musongati have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Muzinga have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rukinzo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Royal Vision(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ngozi City(away) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Inter Star(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| May 8, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(away) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kayanza United(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Garage Express(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Musongati win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Muzinga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Musongati 0-1 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Muzinga 0-1 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Musongati 5-1 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Muzinga 0-3 Musongati | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Musongati score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Muzinga score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musongati | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Muzinga | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Musongati sit 13th in Ligue A (1 points from 2 matches) and Muzinga sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Muzinga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Musongati | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Musongati vs Muzinga?
- The Footlab model makes Musongati the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Muzinga.
- Where and when is Musongati vs Muzinga played?
- Musongati vs Muzinga is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ingoma, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.