Ngozi City vs Kayanza United: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Urukundo, Mwumba
The Footlab model makes Ngozi City the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Kayanza United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ngozi City vs Kayanza United?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Ngozi City (1,431) and Kayanza United (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ngozi City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kayanza United have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Young Star(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 0-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 2-4 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ngozi City win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Kayanza United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kayanza United 0-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Ngozi City 0-0 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Kayanza United 0-1 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Ngozi City 2-1 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Kayanza United 1-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Ngozi City 1-1 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Kayanza United vs Ngozi City on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ngozi City score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kayanza United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ngozi City | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kayanza United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ngozi City sit 3rd in Ligue A (3 points from 1 matches) and Kayanza United sit 8th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ngozi City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Kayanza United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ngozi City vs Kayanza United?
- The Footlab model makes Ngozi City the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Kayanza United.
- Where and when is Ngozi City vs Kayanza United played?
- Ngozi City vs Kayanza United is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Urukundo, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.