Vital'O vs Musongati: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Intwari, Bujumbura
The Footlab model makes Musongati the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Vital'O. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vital'O vs Musongati?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Vital'O (1,638) and Musongati (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vital'O have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Musongati have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ngozi City(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inter Star(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Royal Vision(away) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rukinzo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Royal Vision(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ngozi City(away) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Inter Star(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vital'O win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Musongati win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Vital'O 2-0 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Musongati 0-0 Vital'O | Ligue A |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Vital'O 1-1 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Musongati 0-0 Vital'O | Ligue A |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Vital'O 3-0 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Musongati 0-0 Vital'O | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Vital'O score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Musongati score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vital'O | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Musongati | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vital'O sit 3rd in Ligue A (4 points from 2 matches) and Musongati sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vital'O | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Musongati | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vital'O vs Musongati?
- The Footlab model makes Musongati the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Vital'O.
- Where and when is Vital'O vs Musongati played?
- Vital'O vs Musongati is played on November 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Intwari, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.