Olympic Star vs Bumamuru: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Muyinga
The Footlab model makes Olympic Star the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bumamuru. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic Star vs Bumamuru?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Olympic Star (1,514) and Bumamuru (1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Star have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bumamuru have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aigle Noir(away) | 1-3 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Ngozi City(home) | 4-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Inter Star(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vital'O(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Royal Vision(away) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rukinzo(home) | 0-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Olympic Star win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Bumamuru win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Bumamuru 2-3 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Olympic Star 1-2 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| May 6, 2025 | Olympic Star 1-1 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Bumamuru 1-1 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Olympic Star 0-0 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Bumamuru 2-0 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Bumamuru vs Olympic Star on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic Star score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bumamuru score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Star | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bumamuru | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympic Star sit 16th in Ligue A (0 points from 1 matches) and Bumamuru sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bumamuru | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Olympic Star | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic Star vs Bumamuru?
- The Footlab model makes Olympic Star the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bumamuru.
- Where and when is Olympic Star vs Bumamuru played?
- Olympic Star vs Bumamuru is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.