Match

Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkoloma Stadium, Lusaka

Red ArrowsMutondo Stars

The Footlab AI model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 75%, against 19% for a draw and 6% for Mutondo Stars. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars?

Red Arrows starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,451).

75%19%6%
Red Arrows winDrawMutondo Stars win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Red Arrows

4-3-3
  1. 28Ricky Banda
  2. 35James Chamanga
  3. 10Joseph Phiri
  1. 6Paul Katema
  2. 17Ackim Mumba
  3. 34Saddam Yussuf Phiri
  1. 21G. Ngwenya
  2. 32Benedict Chepeshi
  3. 15Allan Kapila
  4. 30Kebson Kamanga
  1. 16Charles Kalumba

Mutondo Stars

Not enough data to predict the Mutondo Stars lineup.

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:10 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Arrows have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Mutondo Stars have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Red Arrows
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Kaizer Chiefs(home)1-0CAF Confederation Cup
Oct 10, 2026Mufulira Wanderers(home)0-0Super League
Oct 4, 2026Mutondo Stars(away)3-1Super League
Sep 13, 2026Inate Rouge(away)2-0CAF Confederation Cup
Sep 5, 2026Inate Rouge(home)2-0CAF Confederation Cup
Mutondo Stars
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Chirundu Utd(away)0-3Super League
Oct 10, 2026Kabwe Warriors(away)2-3Super League
Oct 4, 2026Red Arrows(home)1-3Super League
May 24, 2026NAPSA Stars(away)0-1Super League
May 17, 2026Mines(home)3-1Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Red Arrows wins, 1 draw, 2 Mutondo Stars wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Mutondo Stars 1-3 Red ArrowsSuper League
May 2, 2026Mutondo Stars 1-0 Red ArrowsSuper League
Dec 7, 2025Red Arrows 2-0 Mutondo StarsSuper League
Feb 8, 2025Red Arrows 0-0 Mutondo StarsSuper League
Sep 29, 2024Mutondo Stars 3-1 Red ArrowsSuper League
Jun 1, 2024Mutondo Stars 0-1 Red ArrowsSuper League

Last archived meeting: Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows on Oct 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Red Arrows score 1.2 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Red Arrows1.20.495/154/15
Mutondo Stars0.91.518/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Red Arrows sit 2nd in Super League (63 points from 34 matches) and Mutondo Stars sit 16th (35 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Red Arrows3417125442263
16Mutondo Stars3471413233435

A question about Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars?
The Footlab AI model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 75%, against 19% for a draw and 6% for Mutondo Stars.
Where and when is Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars played?
Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkoloma Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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