MVV vs Den Bosch: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)De Geusselt, Maastricht
The Footlab AI model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for MVV. The most likely score is 1-1. If Den Bosch wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MVV vs Den Bosch?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate MVV (1,585) and Den Bosch (1,634).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MVV vs Den Bosch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MVV
4-2-3-1- 9T. Vinogradac
- 7L. Daneels
- 10O. Dumont
- 16R. Klaasen
- 18E. Sierra
- 24N. El Hamdaoui
- 6F. Dicke
- 17S. Wegen
- 22Sven Bouland
- 21D. Asante
- 1H. Wentges
Den Bosch
4-3-3- 8K. Monzialo
- 9S. Karlsson Grach
- 11J. De Vries
- 10Devon Decorte
- 18H. Eikelboom
- 16Wang Bohao
- 22Jeffry Fortes
- 33M. Laros
- 25Silvan Broker
- 3S. Maas
- 1P. van de Merbel
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MVV have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Den Bosch have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 MVV wins, 1 draw, 1 Den Bosch win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Den Bosch 1-2 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2025 | MVV 2-4 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MVV 5-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2024 | MVV 2-1 Den Bosch | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Den Bosch 1-1 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | MVV 1-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
MVV score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Den Bosch score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVV | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Den Bosch | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MVV sit 7th in Eerste Divisie (16 points from 10 matches) and Den Bosch sit 14th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | MVV | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
A question about MVV vs Den Bosch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MVV vs Den Bosch?
- The Footlab AI model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for MVV.
- Where and when is MVV vs Den Bosch played?
- MVV vs Den Bosch is played on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at De Geusselt, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.