Vitesse vs Jong Ajax: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
Vitesse starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,706 vs 1,518).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitesse vs Jong Ajax
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 33M. Marschalk
- 16P. Dahbo
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 24N. Markelo
- 1C. van den Berg
Jong Ajax
4-3-3- 9E. Ünüvar
- 11P. Nash
- 7Leo Salazar
- 8Mohamed Abdalla
- 10Alejandro Monserrate
- 6M. Verkuijl
- 4M. Muzungu
- 2R. van de Pavert
- 5Sinclair de Falco
- 3G. Spina
- 1C. Setford
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Jong Ajax have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Vitesse win, 2 draws, 1 Jong Ajax win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Vitesse 6-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Jong Ajax 2-0 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Jong Ajax 1-1 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Vitesse 2-2 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Ajax score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Jong Ajax | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 10th in Eerste Divisie (14 points from 10 matches) and Jong Ajax sit 18th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
A question about Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Jong Ajax.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs Jong Ajax played?
- Vitesse vs Jong Ajax is played on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.