MVV vs Excelsior: result 1-0 and analysis
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 20, 2021 at 03:30 PM (UTC)De Geusselt, Maastricht
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What was the result of MVV vs Excelsior?
MVV won 1-0 on February 20, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 88′D. DianessyMVV
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MVV have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Excelsior have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 6, 2021 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Cambuur(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 22, 2021 | Helmond Sport(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 19, 2021 | Excelsior(home) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | Roda(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 9, 2021 | Vitesse(home) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Feb 5, 2021 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Den Bosch(home) | 4-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 23, 2021 | FC OSS(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 MVV win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2021 | MVV 2-2 Excelsior | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Excelsior 2-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 6, 2020 | Excelsior 3-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2019 | MVV 0-0 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
MVV score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVV | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy