Nacional AC MG vs Varginha EC: result 4-1 and analysis
Mineiro - 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on June 17, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Soares de Azevedo, Muriaé, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Nacional AC MG vs Varginha EC?
Nacional AC MG won 4-1 on June 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 9′?Varginha EC
- 46′?Nacional AC MG
- 77′?Nacional AC MG
- 81′?Nacional AC MG
- 89′?Nacional AC MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional AC MG have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Varginha EC have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2023 | Uniao Trabalhadores(away) | 1-2 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Jun 7, 2023 | Aymorés(away) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Uniao Luziense(home) | 1-1 | Mineiro - 2 |
| May 28, 2023 | BOA(away) | 1-2 | Mineiro - 2 |
| May 24, 2023 | North Esporte(away) | 0-1 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2023 | Aymorés(home) | 1-0 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Jun 7, 2023 | Itabirito(away) | 0-4 | Mineiro - 2 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | BOA(home) | 1-0 | Mineiro - 2 |
| May 28, 2023 | Uberlandia(away) | 3-1 | Mineiro - 2 |
| May 24, 2023 | Betim(home) | 0-2 | Mineiro - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Nacional AC MG win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Varginha EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2022 | Varginha EC 2-0 Nacional AC MG | Mineiro - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Varginha EC vs Nacional AC MG on May 11, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional AC MG score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Varginha EC score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional AC MG | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Varginha EC | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy