Nacional vs Academico Viseu: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
The Footlab model makes Nacional the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Academico Viseu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nacional vs Academico Viseu?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Nacional (1,989) and Academico Viseu (1,996).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Academico Viseu have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nacional win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Academico Viseu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Nacional 1-1 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Academico Viseu 1-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| May 28, 2023 | Nacional 3-2 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Academico Viseu 1-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| May 7, 2022 | Nacional 1-2 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Academico Viseu 1-4 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nacional vs Academico Viseu on Mar 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Academico Viseu score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Academico Viseu | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 7th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Academico Viseu sit 12th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nacional vs Academico Viseu?
- The Footlab model makes Nacional the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Academico Viseu.
- Where and when is Nacional vs Academico Viseu played?
- Nacional vs Academico Viseu is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio da Madeira, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.