Sporting CP vs Moreirense: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Moreirense. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,482 Elo points against 2,114, a 368-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting CP vs Moreirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting CP
4-2-3-1- 97L. Suárez
- 10Geny Catamo
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 17R. Zalazar
- 58Flávio Gonçalves
- 20M. Araújo
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 13G. Vagiannidis
- 1Rui Silva
Known absences
Z. DebastOut · Leg injury
Moreirense
4-2-3-1- 79L. Vonić
- 23N. John
- 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
- 65Guilherme Liberato
- 10Kiko Bondoso
- 19Tiago Andrade
- 66Gilberto Batista
- 27Kiko
- 26Maracás
- 76Dinis Pinto
- 13André Ferreira
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Moreirense have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sporting CP wins, 0 draws, 1 Moreirense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Moreirense 0-3 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Sporting CP 3-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Sporting CP 3-1 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Moreirense 2-1 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Moreirense 0-2 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Sporting CP 3-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Moreirense vs Sporting CP on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP score 3.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Moreirense score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 3.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Moreirense | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP sit 3rd in Primeira Liga (15 points from 7 matches) and Moreirense sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Moreirense.
- Where and when is Sporting CP vs Moreirense played?
- Sporting CP vs Moreirense is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Alvalade, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.