Nacional vs Arouca: result 1-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 1, 2025 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Arouca?
Arouca won 1-2 on February 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 5′Pablo GozálbezArouca
- 26′Henrique AraújoArouca (pen.)
- 45′UlissesNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Arouca have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 19, 2025 | AVS(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 12, 2025 | FC Porto(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Guimaraes(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | Moreirense(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Guimaraes(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Boavista(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 27, 2024 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2024 | Arouca 1-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 6, 2018 | Arouca 0-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 22, 2017 | Nacional 2-2 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Nacional 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Arouca 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 1, 2016 | Arouca 3-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Arouca | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 5th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Arouca sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy