Nacional vs Estoril: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 16, 2015 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Estoril?
Nacional won 1-0 on February 16, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 81′Lucas JoãoNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Estoril have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2015 | Arouca(away) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Belenenses(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2015 | Moreirense(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2015 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 11, 2015 | Boavista(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2015 | SC Braga(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 1, 2015 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2015 | Arouca(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2015 | Boavista(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 9, 2015 | Moreirense(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2014 | Estoril 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 20, 2014 | Nacional 2-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Estoril 3-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 7, 2013 | Estoril 4-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Nacional 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Estoril | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 7th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Estoril sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy