Nacional vs Penafiel: result 3-2 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 24, 2024 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Penafiel?
Nacional won 3-2 on February 24, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 13′Paulo VitorPenafiel (o.g.)
- 34′WitiNacional
- 54′João OliveiraPenafiel
- 60′José GomesNacional
- 67′V. DanilovićNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Penafiel have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | Feirense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Vilaverdense(home) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Torreense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Maritimo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Mafra(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Oliveirense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Feirense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Leixoes(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2023 | Penafiel 1-4 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Nacional 0-0 Penafiel | Taça da Liga |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Penafiel 3-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Nacional 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Nacional 3-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Penafiel 1-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy