Nacional vs Tondela: result 1-2 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub Friendlies 5Kick-off on July 24, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Tondela?
Tondela won 1-2 on July 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 1′MiroTondela
- 64′Martim WattsNacional
- 89′Y. RodriguezTondela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tondela have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | FC Porto(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Moreirense(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Benfica B(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2025 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| May 11, 2025 | Alverca(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | Chaves(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tondela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Tondela 2-3 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Nacional 1-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Tondela 1-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Nacional 1-0 Tondela | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Nacional 0-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 22, 2021 | Tondela 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Tondela | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy