Naestved vs HB Koge: result 1-2 and analysis
DBU Pokalen1st RoundKick-off on August 27, 2014 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tved Stadion, Næstved
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What was the result of Naestved vs HB Koge?
HB Koge won 1-2 on August 27, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naestved have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; HB Koge have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2013 | Vejle(home) | 3-5 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 28, 2013 | Frem(away) | 2-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2013 | Haslev(away) | 4-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 15, 2012 | Ringsted(away) | 4-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Vejle(away) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2014 | Roskilde(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2014 | Aarhus(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2014 | Vejle(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Viborg(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2014 | Skive(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Naestved score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; HB Koge score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| HB Koge | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy