VSK Århus vs Naestved: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Ceres Park Vejlby, Risskov
The Footlab model makes VSK Århus the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Naestved. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VSK Århus vs Naestved?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate VSK Århus (1,762) and Naestved (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VSK Århus have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Naestved have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fremad Amager(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | tst Fodbold(away) | 6-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HIK(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nykobing FC(away) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HIK(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hvidovre(home) | 1-0 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 VSK Århus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Naestved win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naestved 0-2 VSK Århus | 2. Division |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Naestved 2-2 VSK Århus | 2. Division |
| Aug 30, 2025 | VSK Århus 1-3 Naestved | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Naestved vs VSK Århus on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VSK Århus score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Naestved score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSK Århus | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Naestved | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VSK Århus sit 1st in 2. Division (12 points from 4 matches) and Naestved sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Århus | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Naestved | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VSK Århus vs Naestved?
- The Footlab model makes VSK Århus the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Naestved.
- Where and when is VSK Århus vs Naestved played?
- VSK Århus vs Naestved is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Ceres Park Vejlby, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.