Naestved vs Hillerød: result 1-3 and analysis
1. DivisionRelegation Round - 8Kick-off on May 20, 2024 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Harboe Arena Slagelse, Slagelse
Full time
What was the result of Naestved vs Hillerød?
Hillerød won 1-3 on May 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 57′S. PingelHillerød
- 62′S. PingelHillerød
- 66′S. PingelHillerød
- 78′B. RygaardNaestved
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naestved have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hillerød have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | AC Horsens(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| May 3, 2024 | B 93(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Hillerød(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2024 | B 93(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 12, 2024 | AC Horsens(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | FC Helsingor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| May 5, 2024 | HB Koge(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Naestved(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2024 | HB Koge(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 13, 2024 | FC Helsingor(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Naestved win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Hillerød win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2024 | Hillerød 0-0 Naestved | 1. Division |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Hillerød 1-0 Naestved | 1. Division |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Naestved 2-2 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Hillerød 2-0 Naestved | 1. Division |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Naestved 2-0 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Hillerød 1-1 Naestved | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Naestved score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hillerød score 2.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Hillerød | 2.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hillerød | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy