Nafpaktiakos vs Thinaliakos: result 3-1 and analysis
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on December 8, 2019 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Papacharalabeio Ethniko Stadio, Nafpaktos
Full time
What was the result of Nafpaktiakos vs Thinaliakos?
Nafpaktiakos won 3-1 on December 8, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Nafpaktiakos have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Thinaliakos have 7, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2019 | Makedonikos Foufas(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Missolonghi(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Tilikratis(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Anagennisi Artas(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Acheron Kanalaki(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2019 | Anagennisi Artas(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Acheron Kanalaki(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Apollo Efpaliou(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Anatoli(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Lefkimmi(away) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nafpaktiakos score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 11; Thinaliakos score 1.0 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nafpaktiakos | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 4/11 | 3/11 |
| Thinaliakos | 1.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 1/14 | 3/14 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy