Naftan vs Smorgon: result 1-0 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on June 30, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Atlant, Novopolotsk
Full time
What was the result of Naftan vs Smorgon?
Naftan won 1-0 on June 30, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naftan have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Smorgon have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2018 | Lokomotiv Gomel(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 17, 2018 | Slavia Mozyr(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Khimik Svetlogorsk(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Čist́(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| May 27, 2018 | Orsha(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2018 | YuA-Stroy-DYuSSh(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Jun 17, 2018 | Granit(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 9, 2018 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Volna(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| May 27, 2018 | Slonim(home) | 0-5 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Naftan score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Smorgon score 0.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftan | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Smorgon | 0.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Smorgon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | Smorgon | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy