Smorgon vs Bumprom: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadyen Junatstva, Smorgon
The Footlab AI model makes Smorgon the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Bumprom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Smorgon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Smorgon vs Bumprom?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Smorgon (1,452) and Bumprom (1,455).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Smorgon vs Bumprom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Smorgon
4-3-3- 17M. Dukso
- 7J. Nsangou
- 23A. Stankevich
- 30B. Fartuna
- 99G. Malashenko
- 78V. Kovalevich
- 2C. Intsoen
- 77I. Bogdanovich
- 27A. Tishko
- 3M. Autko
- 1Maksim Azarko
Bumprom
4-3-3- 91A. Miroevskiy
- 9K. Sidorenko
- 9K. Sidorenko
- 21N. Ovsyanik
- 47A. Kabyshev
- 8I. Zhestkin
- 4S. Kruzhilin
- 72A. Fazylov
- 5D. Kaplunov
- 17Y. Makushinskiy
- 16V. Yarukov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smorgon have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bumprom have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Lida(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Niva(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lida(home) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Niva(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Smorgon wins, 0 draws, 1 Bumprom win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Bumprom 2-1 Smorgon | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Smorgon score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bumprom score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smorgon | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Bumprom | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Smorgon sit 9th in 1. Division (36 points from 28 matches) and Bumprom sit 8th (41 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bumprom | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 44 | 41 |
| 9 | Smorgon | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 36 |
A question about Smorgon vs Bumprom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Smorgon vs Bumprom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Smorgon the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Bumprom.
- Where and when is Smorgon vs Bumprom played?
- Smorgon vs Bumprom is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadyen Junatstva, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.