Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa: prediction and stats
J-League CupRound of 16Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota
The Footlab AI model makes Urawa the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Urawa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Nagoya Grampus (1,987) and Urawa (2,044).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1- 18K. Nagai
- 15S. Inagaki
- 14T. Morishima
- 22Y. Kimura
- 17T. Uchida
- 7R. Izumi
- 27K. Nakayama
- 31T. Takamine
- 70T. Hara
- 3Y. Sato
- 1D. Schmidt
Urawa
4-3-3- 10Matheus Sávio
- 7T. Kaneko
- 36R. Hidano
- 2Y. Miyamoto
- 12T. Seko
- 25K. Yasui
- 3Danilo Boza
- 88Y. Naganuma
- 6M. Yamane
- 15K. Kudo
- 1S. Nishikawa
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 06:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Urawa have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 3-3 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 3-1 | J-League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 3-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 4-0 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 3-2 | Emperor Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nagoya Grampus wins, 0 draws, 4 Urawa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Urawa 2-1 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| May 24, 2025 | Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Urawa | J1 League |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Urawa | J1 League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Urawa 2-1 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Urawa 1-0 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| Aug 2, 2023 | Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Urawa | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Nagoya Grampus on Aug 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nagoya Grampus score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 2.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Grampus | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Urawa | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nagoya Grampus sit 1st in J-League Cup (15 points from 6 matches) and Urawa sit 1st (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya GrampusGroup C | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 1 | UrawaGroup B | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Urawa the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Nagoya Grampus.
- Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa played?
- Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa is played on October 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.