Nairn County vs Fraserburgh: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 22Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Nairn
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Nairn County. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nairn County vs Fraserburgh?
Fraserburgh starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (1,664 vs 1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairn County have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Fraserburgh have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nairn County win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Fraserburgh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fraserburgh 2-0 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Nairn County 0-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Fraserburgh 7-0 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fraserburgh 2-0 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Nairn County 1-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Nairn County 0-3 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Fraserburgh vs Nairn County on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nairn County score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairn County | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nairn County sit 9th in Football League - Highland League (49 points from 34 matches) and Fraserburgh sit 4th (68 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75 | 39 | 68 |
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 52 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nairn County vs Fraserburgh?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Nairn County.
- Where and when is Nairn County vs Fraserburgh played?
- Nairn County vs Fraserburgh is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027Banks O' DeevsBrora Rangers
- Jan 2, 2027Formartine UnitedvsInvergordon
- Jan 2, 2027Buckie ThistlevsTurriff United
- Jan 2, 2027Forres MechanicsvsLossiemouth
- Jan 2, 2027Inverurie Loco WorksvsStrathspey Thistle
- Jan 2, 2027KeithvsClachnacuddin
- Jan 2, 2027RothesvsDeveronvale
- Jan 2, 2027Wick AcademyvsHuntly