Nairn County vs Inverurie Loco Works: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Nairn
The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Inverurie Loco Works. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nairn County vs Inverurie Loco Works?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Nairn County (1,404) and Inverurie Loco Works (1,488).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairn County have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Inverurie Loco Works have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nairn County win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Inverurie Loco Works win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works 3-1 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works 4-4 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Nairn County 3-0 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Nairn County 0-1 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Inverurie Loco Works 2-3 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Inverurie Loco Works 6-0 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Inverurie Loco Works vs Nairn County on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nairn County score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Inverurie Loco Works score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairn County | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Inverurie Loco Works | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nairn County sit 9th in Football League - Highland League (49 points from 34 matches) and Inverurie Loco Works sit 15th (33 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 52 | 49 |
| 15 | Inverurie Loco Works | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 66 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nairn County vs Inverurie Loco Works?
- The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Inverurie Loco Works.
- Where and when is Nairn County vs Inverurie Loco Works played?
- Nairn County vs Inverurie Loco Works is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Brora RangersvsBuckie Thistle
- Dec 26, 2026FraserburghvsForres Mechanics
- Dec 26, 2026ClachnacuddinvsRothes
- Dec 26, 2026DeveronvalevsInvergordon
- Dec 26, 2026LossiemouthvsKeith
- Dec 26, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsBanks O' Dee
- Dec 26, 2026Turriff UnitedvsWick Academy
- Dec 26, 2026HuntlyvsFormartine United