Fraserburgh vs Forres Mechanics: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Forres Mechanics. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Forres Mechanics?
Fraserburgh starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,664 vs 1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Forres Mechanics have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deveronvale(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nairn County(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fraserburgh win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Forres Mechanics win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics 0-2 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Fraserburgh 3-1 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Forres Mechanics 4-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Fraserburgh 3-1 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Forres Mechanics 2-2 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Forres Mechanics 1-2 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Forres Mechanics vs Fraserburgh on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Forres Mechanics score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Forres Mechanics | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fraserburgh sit 4th in Football League - Highland League (68 points from 34 matches) and Forres Mechanics sit 13th (40 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75 | 39 | 68 |
| 13 | Forres Mechanics | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 67 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Forres Mechanics?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Forres Mechanics.
- Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Forres Mechanics played?
- Fraserburgh vs Forres Mechanics is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 26, 2026LossiemouthvsKeith
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- Dec 26, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsBanks O' Dee
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