Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab AI model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Mahasarakham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nakhon Pathom wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,750 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,435) and Mahasarakham United (1,418).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nakhon Pathom
4-3-3- 11Valdo
- 22P. Viriyachanchai
- 21N. Prachobklang
- 66S. Chaolaokhwan
- 6J. Phupha
- 55C. Otton
- 47A. Sangtong
- 44Amirhossein Nemati
- 5V. Filipović
- 33A. Sangram
- 76K. Pitaksalee
Mahasarakham United
4-3-3- 18J. Palapon
- 14P. Chote-jirachaithon
- 11Phuwanet Thongkui
- 7Lwin Moe Aung
- 37K. Artserm
- 19K. Chanmunti
- 39W. Un Art
- 5N. Krutyai
- 3A. Saito
- 2J. Sriprach
- 28S. Cunningham
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mahasarakham United have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Satun(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Uttaradit(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Chanthaburi(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Huasamrong Gateway(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nakhon Pathom win, 0 draws, 1 Mahasarakham United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United 0-2 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Mahasarakham United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Pathom on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mahasarakham United score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Mahasarakham United | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nakhon Pathom sit 10th in Thai League 2 (11 points from 9 matches) and Mahasarakham United sit 17th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Mahasarakham United.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham United is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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