Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat played?

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Nong Bua Pitchaya

Chainat

The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Chainat. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Chainat (1,425).

Nong Bua Pitchaya win56 %

Draw21 %

Chainat win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

Chainat
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 2, 2026	Pattani(home)	1-3	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Esan Pattaya(home)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Trat FC(away)	3-3	Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026	Police Tero(home)	2-1	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Chainat win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 3, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Chainat	Thai League 2
Sep 20, 2025	Chainat 3-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Mar 10, 2024	Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Chainat	Thai League 2
Nov 11, 2023	Chainat 1-2 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Mar 6, 2021	Chainat 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Oct 25, 2020	Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 Chainat	Thai League 2

Last archived meeting: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat on Feb 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15
Chainat	1.3	1.8	1	12/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th in Thai League 2 (54 points from 34 matches) and Chainat sit 6th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54
6	Chainat	34	12	10	12	50	46	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat?: The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Chainat.
Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat played?: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.