Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom played?

Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai

Chiangmai United

Nakhon Pathom

The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Chiangmai United (1,430) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).

Chiangmai United win45 %

Draw26 %

Nakhon Pathom win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chiangmai United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Kasetsart FC(away)	4-3	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	3-0	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	1-2	Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026	Khon Kaen United(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026	Trat FC(home)	0-1	Thai League 2

Nakhon Pathom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Phrae United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Bangkok(home)	0-3	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Mahasarakham United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026	Khon Kaen United(away)	0-1	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chiangmai United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nakhon Pathom win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	Nakhon Pathom 2-5 Chiangmai United	Thai League 2
Nov 3, 2025	Chiangmai United 0-1 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 2
Mar 12, 2023	Chiangmai United 2-0 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 2
Oct 30, 2022	Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Chiangmai United	Thai League 2
Mar 31, 2021	Nakhon Pathom 3-2 Chiangmai United	Thai League 2
Feb 15, 2020	Chiangmai United 1-0 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 2

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chiangmai United	1.8	2.1	2	10/15	11/15
Nakhon Pathom	1.1	1.1	6	4/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chiangmai United sit 10th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Chiangmai United	34	14	1	19	55	58	43
15	Nakhon Pathom	34	10	9	15	29	37	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom?: The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom played?: Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.