Match

Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Matchday 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai

Chiangmai UnitedNakhon Pathom

The Footlab AI model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom?

On Elo ratings, Chiangmai United has 1,428 points and Nakhon Pathom 1,449.

55%26%19%
Chiangmai United winDrawNakhon Pathom win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chiangmai United

4-3-3
  1. 96Carlos Neto
  2. 9E. Hooi
  3. 91A. Suew
  1. 7C. Kanuengkid
  2. 19T. Thanasasipat
  3. 31N. Sriyankem
  1. 25R. Shinzato
  2. 21S. Moonkeaw
  3. 15K. Buathong
  4. 65B. Lemdee
  1. 35P. Eammak

Nakhon Pathom

4-3-3
  1. 11Valdo
  2. 22P. Viriyachanchai
  3. 21N. Prachobklang
  1. 66S. Chaolaokhwan
  2. 6J. Phupha
  3. 55C. Otton
  1. 47A. Sangtong
  2. 44Amirhossein Nemati
  3. 5V. Filipović
  4. 33A. Sangram
  1. 76K. Pitaksalee

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:28 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chiangmai United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Satun(away)1-1Thai League 2
Nov 1, 2026Uttaradit(home)1-1Thai League 2
Oct 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)0-0Thai League 2
Oct 17, 2026Songkhla(home)1-1Thai League 2
Oct 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Mahasarakham United(home)6-2Thai League 2
Nov 1, 2026Satun(away)0-0Thai League 2
Oct 24, 2026Uttaradit(away)0-2Thai League 2
Oct 20, 2026Uthai Thani(away)0-2FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)4-3Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chiangmai United wins, 1 draw, 2 Nakhon Pathom wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Nakhon Pathom 2-5 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Nov 3, 2025Chiangmai United 0-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Mar 12, 2023Chiangmai United 2-0 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Oct 30, 2022Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Mar 31, 2021Nakhon Pathom 3-2 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Feb 15, 2020Chiangmai United 1-0 Nakhon PathomThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chiangmai United score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chiangmai United1.31.239/157/15
Nakhon Pathom1.41.365/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chiangmai United sit 11th in Thai League 2 (13 points from 10 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 8th (14 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Nakhon Pathom10352141314
11Chiangmai United10343111013

A question about Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom?
The Footlab AI model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom played?
Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Pathom is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chiangmai United and Nakhon Pathom