Kanchanaburi vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, Kanchanaburi
The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kanchanaburi vs Chiangmai United?
Kanchanaburi starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,543 vs 1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kanchanaburi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Chiangmai United have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Chonburi FC(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Kanchanaburi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chiangmai United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Chiangmai United 0-3 Kanchanaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Kanchanaburi 2-2 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Kanchanaburi 2-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Chiangmai United 2-0 Kanchanaburi | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chiangmai United vs Kanchanaburi on Mar 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kanchanaburi score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanchanaburi | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kanchanaburi vs Chiangmai United?
- The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Chiangmai United.
- Where and when is Kanchanaburi vs Chiangmai United played?
- Kanchanaburi vs Chiangmai United is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026ChainatvsChanthaburi
- Nov 28, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsKasetsart FC
- Nov 28, 2026Police TerovsNakhon Pathom
- Nov 29, 2026Phrae UnitedvsMahasarakham United
- Nov 29, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsUttaradit
- Nov 29, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsSatun
- Nov 29, 2026Esan PattayavsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Nov 30, 2026SongkhlavsMuangthong United