Nakhon Pathom vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0-3 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-0 Nakhon Pathom | FA Cup |
| Jul 23, 2014 | Nakhon Pathom 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 26, 2014 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 7, 2013 | Nakhon Pathom 3-2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nakhon Pathom on Jan 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 6, 2026ChainatvsPhrae United
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