Where and when is Police Tero vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?

Police Tero vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Police Tero vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok

Police Tero

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Police Tero vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547).

Police Tero win42 %

Draw27 %

Nakhon Ratchasima FC win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Police Tero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)	1-3	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Chanthaburi(away)	1-1	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Phrae United(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026	Chainat(away)	1-2	Thai League 2

Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Chonburi FC(away)	1-2	Thai League 1
May 2, 2026	Sukhothai FC(home)	1-0	Thai League 1
Apr 25, 2026	BG Pathum United(away)	0-1	Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026	Muangthong United(away)	1-2	Thai League 1
Apr 11, 2026	Bangkok United(home)	1-0	Thai League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Police Tero win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 7, 2023	Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-3 Police Tero	Thai League 1
Nov 27, 2022	Police Tero 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC	Thai League 1
May 18, 2022	Police Tero 1-2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC	FA Cup
Jan 16, 2022	Police Tero 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC	Thai League 1
Sep 19, 2021	Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-0 Police Tero	Thai League 1
Mar 21, 2021	Police Tero 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC	Thai League 1

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Police Tero on May 7, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Police Tero	1.2	1.9	1	12/15	9/15
Nakhon Ratchasima FC	0.8	1.1	5	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Police Tero	34	15	8	11	50	44	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?: The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
Where and when is Police Tero vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?: Police Tero vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.