Nantong Zhiyun vs Dongguan United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC)Rugao Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Rugao
The Footlab model makes Nantong Zhiyun the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Dongguan United. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nantong Zhiyun vs Dongguan United?
Nantong Zhiyun starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,451 vs 1,231).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nantong Zhiyun have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Dongguan United have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nanjing City(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 5-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(away) | 0-6 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Wuxi Wugou(home) | 0-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Nantong Zhiyun win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dongguan United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Dongguan United 1-2 Nantong Zhiyun | League One |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Dongguan United 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun | League One |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Nantong Zhiyun 2-0 Dongguan United | League One |
Last archived meeting: Dongguan United vs Nantong Zhiyun on Jul 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nantong Zhiyun score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dongguan United score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantong Zhiyun | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Dongguan United | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nantong Zhiyun sit 4th in League One (35 points from 19 matches) and Dongguan United sit 16th (11 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
| 16 | Dongguan United | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 43 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nantong Zhiyun vs Dongguan United?
- The Footlab model makes Nantong Zhiyun the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Dongguan United.
- Where and when is Nantong Zhiyun vs Dongguan United played?
- Nantong Zhiyun vs Dongguan United is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC) at Rugao Olympic Sports Center Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.