Shaanxi Union vs Guangxi Hengchen: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC)Weinan Sports Center Stadium, Weinan
The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Shaanxi Union. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shaanxi Union vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Guangxi Hengchen starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,514 vs 1,413).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shaanxi Union have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Guangxi Hengchen have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(home) | 3-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ningbo Professional(away) | 4-2 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 4-4 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Shaanxi Union win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guangxi Hengchen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen 3-0 Shaanxi Union | League One |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Shaanxi Union 2-0 Guangxi Hengchen | League Two |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Guangxi Hengchen 1-2 Shaanxi Union | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Guangxi Hengchen vs Shaanxi Union on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shaanxi Union score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guangxi Hengchen score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaanxi Union | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shaanxi Union sit 6th in League One (26 points from 19 matches) and Guangxi Hengchen sit 5th (33 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Guangxi Hengchen | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 33 |
| 6 | Shaanxi Union | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shaanxi Union vs Guangxi Hengchen?
- The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Shaanxi Union.
- Where and when is Shaanxi Union vs Guangxi Hengchen played?
- Shaanxi Union vs Guangxi Hengchen is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC) at Weinan Sports Center Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.