Wuxi Wugou vs Changchun Yatai: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC)Wuxi Sports Center, Wuxi
The Footlab model makes Wuxi Wugou the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Changchun Yatai. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wuxi Wugou vs Changchun Yatai?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Wuxi Wugou (1,432) and Changchun Yatai (1,382).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wuxi Wugou have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Changchun Yatai have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dongguan United(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(away) | 5-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dongguan United(home) | 6-0 | League One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nanjing City(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Wuxi Wugou win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Changchun Yatai win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Changchun Yatai 1-5 Wuxi Wugou | League One |
Last archived meeting: Changchun Yatai vs Wuxi Wugou on Jul 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wuxi Wugou score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Changchun Yatai score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuxi Wugou | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Changchun Yatai | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wuxi Wugou sit 8th in League One (23 points from 18 matches) and Changchun Yatai sit 9th (22 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 23 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wuxi Wugou vs Changchun Yatai?
- The Footlab model makes Wuxi Wugou the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Changchun Yatai.
- Where and when is Wuxi Wugou vs Changchun Yatai played?
- Wuxi Wugou vs Changchun Yatai is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC) at Wuxi Sports Center, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Nov 7, 2026Guangzhou E-PowervsNanjing City
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