Match

Yanbian Longding vs Hebei Kungfu: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC)Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, Yanji

Yanbian LongdingHebei Kungfu

The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Hebei Kungfu. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yanbian Longding vs Hebei Kungfu?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Yanbian Longding (1,461) and Hebei Kungfu (1,381).

Yanbian Longding win57 %
Draw27 %
Hebei Kungfu win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yanbian Longding have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Hebei Kungfu have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yanbian Longding
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ningbo Professional(away)3-2League One
Aug 15, 2026Dalian Huayi(home)3-1League One
Aug 9, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(home)0-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Nanjing City(home)1-1League One
Jul 26, 2026Meizhou Kejia(home)2-1League One
Hebei Kungfu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(away)2-1League One
Aug 16, 2026Dongguan United(away)2-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Shaanxi Union(home)2-1League One
Aug 2, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)2-2League One
Jul 25, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(home)1-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Yanbian Longding win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hebei Kungfu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 17, 2026Hebei Kungfu 0-0 Yanbian LongdingLeague One
Aug 2, 2025Yanbian Longding 1-1 Hebei KungfuLeague One
Apr 13, 2025Hebei Kungfu 2-0 Yanbian LongdingLeague One
Sep 1, 2024Hebei Kungfu 0-1 Yanbian LongdingLeague One
Apr 13, 2024Yanbian Longding 1-0 Hebei KungfuLeague One
Aug 13, 2023Hebei Kungfu 3-2 Yanbian LongdingLeague One

Last archived meeting: Hebei Kungfu vs Yanbian Longding on Jul 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yanbian Longding score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hebei Kungfu score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yanbian Longding1.71.139/157/15
Hebei Kungfu0.91.138/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yanbian Longding sit 3rd in League One (35 points from 20 matches) and Hebei Kungfu sit 13th (21 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Yanbian Longding20983301835
13Hebei Kungfu20569162421

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yanbian Longding vs Hebei Kungfu?
The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Hebei Kungfu.
Where and when is Yanbian Longding vs Hebei Kungfu played?
Yanbian Longding vs Hebei Kungfu is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC) at Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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