Nantwich Town vs Dover: result 2-1 and analysis
FA Trophy4th RoundKick-off on February 27, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Optimum Pay Stadium, Nantwich, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Nantwich Town vs Dover?
Nantwich Town won 2-1 on February 27, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 55′E. OsborneNantwich Town
- 70′Richard OrluDover
- 90′L. ShottonNantwich Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nantwich Town have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Dover have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | Stourbridge(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 26, 2016 | Bradford (Park Avenue)(home) | 5-0 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 20, 2016 | Bradford (Park Avenue)(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Matlock Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Stockport County(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Gateshead(home) | 4-0 | National League |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 24, 2016 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Jan 16, 2016 | Southport(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Nantwich Town score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 2.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantwich Town | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Dover | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy