Nardò vs Ebolitana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Heffort Sport Village, Parabita
The Footlab AI model makes Nardò the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Ebolitana. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nardò vs Ebolitana?
On Elo ratings, Nardò has 1,732 points and Ebolitana 1,696.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nardò vs Ebolitana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nardò
Not enough data to predict the Nardò lineup.
Ebolitana
Not enough data to predict the Ebolitana lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nardò have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ebolitana have 2, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brindisi(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Melfi(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manfredonia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Nardò wins, 1 draw, 0 Ebolitana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ebolitana 1-1 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Nardò score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ebolitana score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nardò | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Ebolitana | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 4/8 | 3/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nardò sit 18th in Serie D - Girone H (4 points from 8 matches) and Ebolitana sit 13th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ebolitana | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 8 |
| 18 | Nardò | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Nardò vs Ebolitana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nardò vs Ebolitana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nardò the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Ebolitana.
- Where and when is Nardò vs Ebolitana played?
- Nardò vs Ebolitana is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Heffort Sport Village, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.