Nardo vs Ranheim II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Phonereparatøren Arena, Trondheim
The Footlab model makes Nardo the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Ranheim II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nardo vs Ranheim II?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Nardo (1,565) and Ranheim II (1,544).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nardo have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Ranheim II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Melhus(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Volda(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Molde II(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spjelkavik(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ranheim II(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Herd(away) | 0-9 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Rosenborg II(away) | 1-7 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | NTNUI(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Volda(away) | 0-7 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Nardo(home) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Nardo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ranheim II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ranheim II 5-3 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Nardo 3-1 Ranheim II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Ranheim II 0-4 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nardo score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ranheim II score 2.6 and concede 3.4. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nardo | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ranheim II | 2.6 | 3.4 | 0 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nardo sit 13th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (8 points from 9 matches) and Ranheim II sit 12th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ranheim II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 55 | 19 |
| 12 | Ranheim II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 25 | 9 |
| 13 | Nardo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 8 |
| 13 | Nardo | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nardo vs Ranheim II?
- The Footlab model makes Nardo the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Ranheim II.
- Where and when is Nardo vs Ranheim II played?
- Nardo vs Ranheim II is played on September 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Phonereparatøren Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.