Navalcarnero vs Getafe II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa
The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Getafe II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Getafe II?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Navalcarnero (1,859) and Getafe II (1,901).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Getafe II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Navalcarnero win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Getafe II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Navalcarnero 0-0 Getafe II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Getafe II 3-2 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Getafe II 0-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Navalcarnero 3-2 Getafe II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Navalcarnero 0-0 Getafe II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Getafe II 2-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Getafe II on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navalcarnero | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Getafe II | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Navalcarnero sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (43 points from 34 matches) and Getafe II sit 4th (57 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Getafe II | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 35 | 57 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 42 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Getafe II?
- The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Getafe II.
- Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Getafe II played?
- Navalcarnero vs Getafe II is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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