Match

Navalcarnero vs Getafe II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa

NavalcarneroGetafe II

The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Getafe II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs Getafe II?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Navalcarnero (1,859) and Getafe II (1,901).

Navalcarnero win42 %
Draw28 %
Getafe II win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Getafe II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Navalcarnero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Fuenlabrada(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Colonia Moscardó(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Conquense(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026CD Coria(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Getafe II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026CF Talavera(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Alcorcon(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026UD Logroñés(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Orihuela(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Navalcarnero win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Getafe II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Navalcarnero 0-0 Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 7, 2025Getafe II 3-2 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 9, 2025Getafe II 0-1 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 27, 2024Navalcarnero 3-2 Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 17, 2024Navalcarnero 0-0 Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 5, 2023Getafe II 2-1 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Getafe II on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Navalcarnero1.31.537/158/15
Getafe II1.31.065/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Navalcarnero sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (43 points from 34 matches) and Getafe II sit 4th (57 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Getafe II341699553557
10Navalcarnero34111013404243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Getafe II?
The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Getafe II.
Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Getafe II played?
Navalcarnero vs Getafe II is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Navalcarnero and Getafe II

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