Real Murcia vs Alcorcon: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Alcorcon. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?
On Elo ratings, Real Murcia has 1,964 points and Alcorcon 1,927.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Murcia vs Alcorcon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Murcia
4-3-3- 19Joel Jorquera
- 23D. Flakus Bosilj
- 17Javi Moreno
- 8Javi Mier
- 14Palmberg
- 10Chema Núñez
- 2Jorge Mier
- 15Óscar Gil
- 3Cristo
- 4H. Perez
- 13Dani Jiménez
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Murcia have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Alcorcon have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Europa Fc(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Real Murcia wins, 1 draw, 2 Alcorcon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Alcorcon 1-0 Real Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Real Murcia 2-1 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Alcorcon 2-1 Real Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Real Murcia 3-1 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Real Murcia 1-1 Alcorcon | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Alcorcon vs Real Murcia on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Murcia score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Murcia sit 2nd in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (15 points from 7 matches) and Alcorcon sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Murcia | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
A question about Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Alcorcon.
- Where and when is Real Murcia vs Alcorcon played?
- Real Murcia vs Alcorcon is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.