Nebitci vs Köpetdag Aşgabat: prediction and stats
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balkanabat Stadiony, Balkanabat
The Footlab AI model makes Nebitci the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Köpetdag Aşgabat. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nebitci wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 3,345 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nebitci vs Köpetdag Aşgabat?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Nebitci (1,356) and Köpetdag Aşgabat (1,259).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nebitci vs Köpetdag Aşgabat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nebitci
4-3-3- 10H. Amanmämmedow
- 11M. Garadanow
- 6A. Metdaýew
- 7A. Ylýasow
- 5N. Mammedaliýew
- 14A. Garajaýew
- 4M. Saparow
- 17D. Orazguliýew
- 21B. Guldurdyýew
- 20Y. Magtymow
- 1A. Kerimow
Köpetdag Aşgabat
4-3-3- 19B. Akmamedov
- 11S. Hydyrow
- 17B. Gulmayev
- 14D. Seyitmuhammedov
- 4Y. Magsatov
- 8B. Berdiyev
- 5B. Gurgenov
- 21S. Bashimov
- 18Y. Saparmämmedov
- 2A. Mahmudov
- 1D. Berdiyev
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nebitci have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Köpetdag Aşgabat have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aşgabat(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Merw(home) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Şagadam(home) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 2-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ahal(away) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Şagadam(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arkadag(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Merw(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aşgabat(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 2-3 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nebitci wins, 2 draws, 0 Köpetdag Aşgabat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Nebitci 1-0 Köpetdag Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat 0-1 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Nebitci 2-1 Köpetdag Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat 3-3 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Nebitci 1-0 Köpetdag Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat 0-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nebitci vs Köpetdag Aşgabat on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nebitci score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Köpetdag Aşgabat score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebitci | 1.2 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Köpetdag Aşgabat | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nebitci sit 5th in Ýokary Liga (19 points from 21 matches) and Köpetdag Aşgabat sit 8th (14 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nebitci | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 19 |
| 8 | Köpetdag Aşgabat | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 52 | 14 |
A question about Nebitci vs Köpetdag Aşgabat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nebitci vs Köpetdag Aşgabat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nebitci the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Köpetdag Aşgabat.
- Where and when is Nebitci vs Köpetdag Aşgabat played?
- Nebitci vs Köpetdag Aşgabat is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balkanabat Stadiony, in the Ýokary Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.