Worcester City vs Needham Market: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worcester City vs Needham Market?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Worcester City (1,834) and Needham Market (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Needham Market have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Worcester City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Needham Market win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Worcester City 1-0 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Needham Market 1-0 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Worcester City vs Needham Market on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Needham Market sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Needham Market?
- The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Needham Market.
- Where and when is Worcester City vs Needham Market played?
- Worcester City vs Needham Market is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026StamfordvsAlvechurch
- Dec 12, 2026StourbridgevsHitchin Town
- Dec 12, 2026Bury TownvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Dec 12, 2026LeistonvsBanbury United
- Dec 12, 2026Redditch UnitedvsReal Bedford
- Dec 12, 2026Rushall OlympicvsPeterborough Sports
- Dec 12, 2026Stratford TownvsKettering Town
- Dec 12, 2026LeamingtonvsBishop's Stortford