Arsenal vs Neman: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Haradski, Dzerzhinsk
The Footlab AI model makes Neman the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Arsenal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Neman wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal vs Neman?
Neman starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,512).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal vs Neman
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal
4-2-3-1- 33V. Gorbachik
- 79K. Badoev
- 11D. Tsallagov
- 77N. Sotnikov
- 69R. Ermolin
- 18D. Volskiy
- 71M. Matveev
- 31A. Zaleskiy
- 41D. Lutik
- 46V. Vasilyev
- 30A. Soroko
Neman
4-2-3-1- 88P. Savitskiy
- 47M. Kozlov
- 9S. Pushnyakov
- 15O. Evdokimov
- 10D. Lisakovich
- 33D. Spătaru
- 8Y. Pantea
- 55D. Girs
- 20I. Sadovnichiy
- 14S. Jimoh
- 16N. Matysyuk
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Neman have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Minsk(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baranovichi(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baranovichi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arsenal win, 0 draws, 5 Neman wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Arsenal 2-3 Neman | Coppa |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Neman 0-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Neman 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Arsenal 0-3 Neman | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Arsenal 0-4 Neman | Premier League |
| May 16, 2024 | Neman 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Neman score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Neman | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal sit 12th in Premier League (23 points from 24 matches) and Neman sit 5th (40 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Neman | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 40 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 23 |
A question about Arsenal vs Neman?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Neman?
- The Footlab AI model makes Neman the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Arsenal.
- Where and when is Arsenal vs Neman played?
- Arsenal vs Neman is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Haradski, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.