Arsenal vs Neman: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Haradski, Dzerzhinsk
The Footlab model makes Neman the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Arsenal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal vs Neman?
Neman starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,723 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Neman have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Naftan(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Neman(home) | 2-3 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Naftan(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-2 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arsenal win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Neman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Arsenal 2-3 Neman | Coppa |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Neman 0-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Neman 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Arsenal 0-3 Neman | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Arsenal 0-4 Neman | Premier League |
| May 16, 2024 | Neman 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Neman score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Neman | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal sit 11th in Premier League (21 points from 19 matches) and Neman sit 8th (27 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Neman | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 27 |
| 11 | Arsenal | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Neman?
- The Footlab model makes Neman the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Arsenal.
- Where and when is Arsenal vs Neman played?
- Arsenal vs Neman is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Haradski, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.