Nepal vs Tajikistan: result 1-2 and analysis
Asian Cup - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2017 at 09:15 AM (UTC)Dashrath Rangasala, Kathmandu
Full time
What was the result of Nepal vs Tajikistan?
Tajikistan won 1-2 on September 5, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 25′M. DzhalilovTajikistan
- 30′Dilshod VasievTajikistan
- 61′B. Gharti MagarNepal
Official lineup for Nepal vs Tajikistan
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Nepal
- BBharat Khawas
- AAnjan Bista
- NN. Shrestha
- RR. Chand
- BB. Rai
- SS. Shrestha
- BB. Maharjan
- AA. Tamang
- DD. Tamang
- KK. Shrestha
- KK. Chemjong
Tajikistan
- MM. Dzhalilov
- FF. Fatkhulloev
- PP. Umarbayev
- AA. Juraboev
- JJahongir Aliev
- DDilshod Vasiev
- DD. Ergashev
- AA. Nazarov
- II. Dzhalilov
- SSiyovush Asrorov
- AAbduaziz Mahkamov
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Nepal have 3 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tajikistan have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2017 | Yemen(home) | 0-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Jun 6, 2017 | India(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2017 | Philippines(away) | 1-4 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Dec 27, 2015 | India(away) | 1-4 | SAFF Championship |
| Dec 23, 2015 | Sri Lanka(home) | 0-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2017 | Philippines(home) | 3-4 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2017 | Yemen(away) | 1-2 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Mar 23, 2017 | Bahrain(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2016 | Bangladesh(away) | 1-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Jun 2, 2016 | Bangladesh(home) | 5-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Nepal score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 14; Tajikistan score 1.5 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nepal | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/14 | 4/14 |
| Tajikistan | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nepal sit 4th in Asian Cup - Qualification (3 points from 6 matches) and Tajikistan sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TajikistanGroup A | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | NepalGroup F | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
A question about Nepal vs Tajikistan?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy