Minija vs Neptūną Klaipėda: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė, Kretinga
The Footlab model makes Minija the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Neptūną Klaipėda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minija vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Minija (1,494) and Neptūną Klaipėda (1,461).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minija have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Neptūną Klaipėda have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 5-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be1 NFA(home) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 4-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BFA(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Minija win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Neptūną Klaipėda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda 1-3 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Neptūną Klaipėda 0-1 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Minija 0-4 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Neptūną Klaipėda 1-1 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| May 3, 2024 | Minija 2-2 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Minija 2-0 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Neptūną Klaipėda vs Minija on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Minija score 2.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Neptūną Klaipėda score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minija | 2.2 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Neptūną Klaipėda | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minija sit 1st in 1 Lyga (52 points from 20 matches) and Neptūną Klaipėda sit 5th (38 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 52 |
| 5 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minija vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
- The Footlab model makes Minija the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Neptūną Klaipėda.
- Where and when is Minija vs Neptūną Klaipėda played?
- Minija vs Neptūną Klaipėda is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.