Never Give Up Academy vs Le Messager Ngozi: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Never Give Up Academy the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Le Messager Ngozi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Never Give Up Academy vs Le Messager Ngozi?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Never Give Up Academy (1,501) and Le Messager Ngozi (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Never Give Up Academy have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Le Messager Ngozi have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Inter Star(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Muzinga(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bumamuru(away) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Inter Star(home) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Royal Vision(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Never Give Up Academy score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 2; Le Messager Ngozi score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Never Give Up Academy | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| Le Messager Ngozi | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Never Give Up Academy sit 8th in Ligue A (3 points from 2 matches) and Le Messager Ngozi sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Le Messager Ngozi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Never Give Up Academy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Never Give Up Academy vs Le Messager Ngozi?
- The Footlab model makes Never Give Up Academy the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Le Messager Ngozi.
- Where and when is Never Give Up Academy vs Le Messager Ngozi played?
- Never Give Up Academy vs Le Messager Ngozi is played on August 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.