Ngozi City vs Inter Star: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Urukundo, Mwumba
The Footlab model makes Ngozi City the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Inter Star. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ngozi City vs Inter Star?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Ngozi City (1,435) and Inter Star (1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ngozi City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Inter Star have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Young Star(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 0-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 2-4 | Ligue A |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(home) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ngozi City win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Inter Star win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Inter Star 2-2 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Ngozi City 1-2 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| May 3, 2025 | Ngozi City 3-0 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Inter Star 3-2 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Apr 3, 2020 | Inter Star 1-1 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Ngozi City 1-0 Inter Star | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Inter Star vs Ngozi City on Feb 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ngozi City score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Star score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ngozi City | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Inter Star | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ngozi City sit 3rd in Ligue A (3 points from 1 matches) and Inter Star sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ngozi City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Inter Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ngozi City vs Inter Star?
- The Footlab model makes Ngozi City the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Inter Star.
- Where and when is Ngozi City vs Inter Star played?
- Ngozi City vs Inter Star is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Urukundo, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.